Mia Love holds narrow lead over Ben McAdams in hypothetical match-up

Mia Love holds narrow lead over Ben McAdams in hypothetical match-up. (Photo: MGN)

(KUTV) — According to a recent poll conducted by Utah Policy, Republican Mia Love leads Democrat Ben McAdams by six points in the race for Utah's 4th Congressional District.

"Love leads McAdams 49-43%," the Utah Policy article states.

In the hypothetical match-up, eight percent of voters remain undecided, according to the poll.

"The numbers suggest the battle to win the remaining undecided voters could be fierce," the article states. "Whichever way they break ahead of the November vote will ultimately decide if Love wins a third term or McAdams pulls the upset."

A similar poll conducted by the Salt Lake Tribune-Hinckley Institute of Politics shows Love holding a five percent lead over McAdams.

Since the 2016 election Love has fallen from 53.8 percent to 49 percent, Utah Policy states in a report.

McAdams is reported as having better fundraising results than Love. He raked in $502,000 compared to Love's $452,000. It is noted, however, that Love already has campaign money on hand, which brings her total to $576,000 to McAdams' $460,000.

A survey conducted by The Dan Jones & Associates suggests that Love will need to convince Republicans who are torn between defecting to McAdams (13 percent ) and being undecided (7 percent ).

Zero percent of Democrats surveyed said they would vote for Love and only two percent remain undecided, Utah Policy reports.

Love's approval rating sits at 55 percent among 4th District voters, but 39 percent disapprove of her job performance.

"That gives Love a net positive approval rating of +16, which is quite good for an incumbent member of Congress," Utah Policy writes.

McAdams struggles with voter recognition, despite a high media profile. His net approval rests at +46 net approval.

Women are reported to prefer Love over McAdams at 49-43 percent, and peculiarly, men are nearly identical at 49-44 percent in favor of Love.

The Dan Jones & Associates survey was conducted February 9 - 21 among 404 voters in Utah's 4th Congressional District. The margin of error is 4.9 percent.